5.8比特币减产前暴涨破万,中线走势分析

资讯 2024-06-18 阅读:50 评论:0
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  隔夜比特币再度大涨,早间继续拉升破万,最高触及10060,刺破日线周期13968-3800黄金分割0.382压力点位置,目前受阻回调,应该来说多头本轮的强势已经非常明确,减产前的方向选择验证多头的决心,提前的上涨更多的是消化减产后这一现实的影响,到了这个点位又会面临一个中期走向的问题,未来到底怎么走成为关键?

By the end of the night, the bitcoins rose again and continued to rise in the early years, reaching a maximum of 10060, breaking down the 13968-3800 golden cycle and dividing the 0.382 pressure point, which is currently blocked. It should be said that the strength of many rounds is already very clear, that the pre-natal orientation choices confirm the determination to do so, and that the early rise is more likely to absorb the effects of the reality of the post-partum reduction, a point that will face a medium-term course. What is the key to the future?

  

  本轮的上涨除了产量的减少会引发稀缺的预期,支撑上涨另外一个重要方面就是避险需求。比特币的某些特性同于黄金,全球经济的客观衰退仍在继续,从原油价格上看,大幅度减产也没有支撑原油的持续走高,破高后昨日闪跌,需求的不足仍是原油面临的最大问题,黄金再度上涨,创下两周最大涨幅,减少的供应与增长的需求共同支撑比特币的上涨。

Apart from the scarcity of expectations generated by this round’s decline in production, another important aspect that underpins the rise is the need to avoid risk. Bitcoin’s characteristics are similar to gold, and the global economic downturn continues. In terms of crude oil prices, the sharp decline in production does not support the continued rise in crude oil, and yesterday’s collapse, the shortfall in demand remains the biggest problem facing crude oil, with gold rising again to the top of the next two weeks, while reduced supply and growth demand together support the rise in Bitcoin.

  

  那么到了现在点位所面临的选择问题是,减产落地和全球经济的逐步恢复,市场对于继续上涨能否继续达成一致,比特币尽管目前破万,但中途周期性出现闪跌让人不能不重视空头目前的能量,我们认为,闪跌的插入同一团体的是空头多头转换,资本逐利,没有绝对的多头空头,角色的转换随时可以引发多头的溃败,尤其是到了现在大周期的反弹压力点10050.

At this point, the choice is whether there will be continued agreement in the markets on the pace of decline and the gradual recovery of the global economy. In spite of the current collapse of the Bitcoin, the mid-course cyclical surge makes it impossible to lose focus on the current energy of the empty. We believe that the same group is inserted into the same group with multiple head-to-head shifts, capital-to-head shifts, no absolute head-to-head shifts, and role shifts can trigger multiple collapses at any time, especially in the light of the rebound pressure point of 10050 in the current cycle.

  

  大周期来看,本轮上涨依旧是处在下跌趋势中的反弹结构中,若能够站上10000将扭转整个大周期结构的下跌,进而进入到长周期的上涨中,而目前自3800的反弹已经延续了8周的连续上涨,我们不认为会那么容易站上万点之上,没有回调结构的上涨,一旦停止,将会重演8000-3800的闪跌模式。

Over the course of the cycle, the current round of rises remains in a rebound structure in a downward trend. If we can stand on 10,000, we will reverse the fall in the structure of the larger cycle and move into a long-term rise, which has now continued for eight weeks since the 3,800 rebound, we do not believe that it will be easy to rise on 10,000 points, that there will be no reversal of the rise in the structure, and that, if stopped, the pattern of collapse of 8,000-3800 will be repeated.

  

  行情刚破高,高位震荡修复行情,可能会再次去试探万点位置,甚至再出新高,但在中期策略上,我们安排10000附近的空单去看这一波的回调力度,这是中线上的布局,我们将逐步测试回调低点,未来1000仍至于更高的回调区间期待可以看到。

In a medium-term strategy, we have set up an empty list near 10,000 to see the wave's resilience, which is the layout on the middle line, we will gradually test it back down, and the next 1000 will remain at the higher call-back area.


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