宏观基本面消息：
macrofundamental message:
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1·欧盟批准加密货币“全面合法化” 法国兴业银行上链以太坊 宣布发行欧元稳定币
The EU approved the “full legalization” of the encoded currency and announced the issuance of a euro-stabilized currency.
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2·中俄大风吹！交通银行允许加密存款、结算和贷款?俄罗斯和土耳其考虑“比特币取代美元结算”
2 Central-Russian wind blowing! Traffic banks allow encrypted deposits, settlements, and loans? Russia and Turkey consider “bitcoin in lieu of dollar settlement”
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3·美国11州终止黄金、白银征税 保护比特币挖矿法案通过 “全国开始意识美元不稳定”
3 U.S. 11 states put an end to taxes on gold and silver, and the Act to Protect Bitcoin from Mining passed the "National Awareness of Unstable Dollars" bill.
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4·香港首次认定“加密货币为财产” 允许信托持有的法定资产
Hong Kong's first recognition of “encrypted currency as property” allows legal assets held in trust
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5·美国国会突发！美证监会主席指控“加密货币造成硅谷银行爆雷”
5 U.S. Congress! The Chairman of the SEC accused "encrypted money causing the Silicon Valley Bank to explode"
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6·中国是比特币巨鲸！禁令下的真相：国库持75亿美元加密资产、仍有3000万活跃用户
China is a bitcoin whale! The truth of the ban is that the national treasury has $7.5 billion in encrypted assets and 30 million active users.
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行业消息：
Industry News:
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1·“撤资美国”非空穴来风！Coinbase设离岸衍生品交易所 “最快下周领牌开张” 股价恐慌性下挫
Coinbase set up the offshore derivatives exchange.
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2·马斯克火箭升空4分钟后爆炸！狗狗币遭棒击急坠近8%
Four minutes after the 2nd Musketeer's launch, the puppies were hit by a stick, nearly 8%.
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3·中国再下一城！“农业银行”融资加密交易所 透明化中国微型、小型企业进驻数字资产
3 China's next city! "Agricultural Bank" finance encryption exchange transparent positioning of Chinese micro, small and medium-sized enterprises in digital assets.
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4·重磅！美国首家核能矿场完成部署?“每度成本只需0.02美元” 最高每日挖逾14枚比特币
4 pounds. The first nuclear site in the United States has been deployed? "$0.02 per degree." Up to 14 bitcoins per day.
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?比特币亚市跌破2.8万美元，上周咱们国内一系列利好消息随着Web3节落幕而淡化，监管压力下的Coinbase交易所计划撤资美国市场，再加上美联储再次加息临近，获利了结的卖压情绪重重打击币价。尽管如此，本周币圈还是传出两大利好消息，香港承认加密货币为财产，欧盟批准合法化法案。
Despite the fact that the city of Bitcoin has fallen by $280 million, a series of good news stories in our country faded last week with the fall of Web3 and the planned withdrawal of the US market from the Coinbase Exchange under regulatory pressure, coupled with the US Federal Reserve’s renewed interest rate increase, have stunned currency prices. Despite this, the currency circle has sent two good news messages: Hong Kong’s recognition of encrypted currency as a property, and the EU’s approval of the legitimation bill.
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比特币价格在不到一周前触及3.1万美元后继续回落，导致加密企业在美股交易中大幅下挫。周四美股收市，比特币矿工领跌，Marathon Digital(MARA)和Riot Platforms(RIOT)股票均下跌约10%，Hut 8 Mining(HUT)下跌9%。加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN)和MicroStrategy(MSTR)股价均下跌超过6%，后者持有140000枚比特币。
Bitcoin prices continued to fall after touching $31,000 less than a week ago, causing crypto-businesses to fall sharply in US stock exchanges. Thursday’s stock market, Bitcoin miners fell, Marathon Digital (MARA) and Riot Platforms (RIOT) stocks fell by about 10% and Hut 8 Mining (HUT) by 9%. The crypto-currency exchange Coinbase (COIN) and MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock prices fell by more than 6%, with the latter holding more than 140,000bits.
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目前，币圈院士可能无法指出，导致比特币跌幅超过3%的任何具体消息。但从综合消息和技术面不难看出，获利了结很可能是关键的回落原因。距离联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的下次会议还有两周时间，短期利率币圈院士已将再次加息25个基点的可能性接近100%。一周前，院士对再次加息的押注接近70%。
At present, it may not be possible to point out any specific news that caused the bitcoin to fall by more than 3%. But, from a combination of information and technology, profit-making is likely to be the key cause of the fall.
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比特币（BTC）
bitcoin(BTC)
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截止发稿前日K线最高28400附近，最低27200附近，所以我们可以看到大饼技术面上，似乎正在回到26600美元附近的需求区，比特币价格跌破3万美元关口以后一直收阴线，综上显示盘口一直缺乏的就是上升的动力，如果大饼价格跌破26500附近关口，则整体趋势就会出现空势，短期就很难出现回调，
We can see that the top K line is near 28,400, near 27,200, as of the day before the release, so that we can see the big pie technology, which seems to be returning to the area of demand close to $26,600, and that bitcoin prices have been punctuated since the 30,000-dollar cut, and that what the plate has been missing is the momentum for the upswing, and if the big pie price falls near 26,500, the overall trend will be empty and it will be difficult to revert in the short term.
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目前大饼的价格仍在50天和200天均线上方交易，表明头寸趋势呈上升趋势。如果抛售继续，从支撑位反弹的可能性仍然很高。比特币的交易量低于过去几个月，这意味着真正的买家可能没有参与之前的反弹，上升趋势可能无法持续，所以要做好空头的准备，
The price of the big cakes is still on the 50-day and 200-day averages, indicating an upward trend in the position. If the sale continues, the possibility of a rebound from the supporting position remains high. Bitcoin transactions are lower than in the last few months, which means that real buyers may not have been involved in the previous rebound, and the upward trend may not be sustainable, so be prepared for the empty.
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短线四小时已经跌破了EMA均线，MACD缩量下行开始，KDJ向下扳回跳水，整体趋势偏空，虽然目前盘口有逆转的可能，但仍然需要时间去确认，原本的27200附近支撑并不牢固，进一步下探关注最后支撑26500和26300区间的支撑，思路上主空，慎多，行情瞬息万变，勿贪，分析主做参考,风险自担
The four-hour line has broken the EMA average, the MACD has begun to shrink, KDJ has pulled back the dive, the overall trend is empty, and while there is currently a risk of reversal, time is still needed to confirm that the original 27200 vicinity is not robust, and further attention is being paid to finally supporting the 26,500 and 26300 sectors, with the idea of being free, careful, fast-changing, non-coupled, analytical reference, risk-taking and risk-taking.
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建议：
Recommendations:
上方28300-28100不破，空，目标27800-27500-27200，破位看26900，止损300点
28300-28100 above open, target 27800-27500-27200, breach 2690, halt 300 points
下方26500-26700不破，多，目标27000-27300-27600，破位看27900，止损300点
26500-267000 below, more than target 27000-27300-27600, break mark 27900, stop damage at 300 points
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以太坊（ETH）
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截止发稿前以太日K线最高1956，最低1830，空势不变，目前盘口趋势上看，以太是有一口气回到1700一线盘整的意思，两大盘整区间一个是2030失守以后，回落至1950,在1950失守以后回落至1830，那么1830如果失守，下方空间直接跳跃到了1710附近，
At the top of the Taiyang K line at 1956, with a minimum of 1830, the air position remains unchanged, and the current trend is to go back to the 1700 line, one of which falls to 1950 and 1830 after 1950, and the next one jumps directly around 1710.
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均线EMA移动平滑指数开始向下，加上MACD缩量增加，KDJ向下跳水，和布林带跌破中轨支撑1940，下一步就是1710附近支撑，算是多头最后的体面了，四小时短线趋势的EMA均线已经开始进入交替下行阶段了，MACD结束了背离开始向下缩量，支撑连续被迫，短空来袭，连日单边记得带好止损，行情瞬息万变，勿贪，分析主做参考,风险自担
The flat-line EMA mobile smoothing index starts downwards, coupled with an increase in the volume of MACD, KDJ dives down, and the Bryn belt falls mid-track supports 1940. The next step is support around 1710, which is finally decent. The four-hour short-line trend of the EMA average has already started to rotate down. The MACD ends its deviations and starts to shrink. It supports continuous pressure, short-space strikes.
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建议：
Recommendations:
上方1930-1910不破，空，目标1880-1850-1820，破位看1790，止损30点
1930-1910 above open, target 1880-1850-1820, breach 1790, 30 o'clock.
下方1700-1720不破，多，目标1750-1780-1810，破位看1840，止损30点
1700-1720 below. More. Target 1750-1780-1810.
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本文由币圈院士独家供稿，仅代表院士独家观点。对BTC，ETH，DOGE，DOT，FIL，EOS等有深入的研究，因文章推送时间的关系，以上观点及建议不具实时性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处，做单合理控制好仓位，切勿重仓或满仓操作。院士也希望各位投资者明白，市场永远是对的，你自己错了该总结自身问题在哪，不要让本应到手的利润飞走。投资没有必要比市场精明，趋势来时，应之，随之；无趋势时，观之，静之。等待趋势最终明朗后，再动手也不迟。明日的成功，源于今日的选择，天道酬勤、地道酬善、人道酬诚、商道酬信、业道酬精、艺道酬心。得失都在不经意间。养成每单严格带好止损止盈的习惯，币圈院士祝你投资愉快！
This paper is given by the Collar of the Currency Circle and represents only its own view. There is an in-depth study of BTC, ETH, DOGE, DOT, FIL, EOS, etc., which is not real-time because of the timing of the article, which is not real-time, for reference purposes, risk-taking, reprinting, indicating the location of a single, properly controlled warehouse, and not to overhear or fill the warehouse. The College also hopes that investors will understand that the market is always right, and that you should take stock of your problems and not let your profits run away. Investment does not have to be more sophisticated than the market, the trend comes in, followed by investment; there is no tendency, watch, silence.
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