金妍解币：影响比特币以太坊走势的消息面和技术面有哪些 如何判断
Kim Yeon Leap: What's the information and technology that affect the progress of Bitcoin?
没有华丽的辞藻，只有朴实的语言与真实的感受，观点也只是仅代表个人立场所言。文中之语，各取所需，如能对各位朋友有所帮助金妍不胜欣喜。也接收各路投资者交流与思维碰撞。
There are no glorified words, only plain words and true feelings, and views represent only personal positions. Words, if needed, can help your friends, Kim Yeon. And accept investors from all walks of life to talk and think.
随着数字货币市场的火爆流行。一大批新的市场分析人士如雨后春笋般崭露头角，个人表示压力很多，自己要学的东西还很多，学无止境。我依然在市场分析的风口浪尖顶着压力执着的追求着，经验与感受颇多。
With the explosion of digital money markets, a large number of new market analysts have emerged, with individuals expressing a lot of pressure, learning more and more. I still have a lot of experience and feeling at the tip of my market analysis.
一路走来令我最欣慰的事就是有了更多的实战经验。自我觉得市场分析与运作更多需实践与经验的总结，在此过程中金妍曾经也交了很多学费，也曾遭遇数次爆.仓，目前的渐趋成熟是由曾经的诸多失败所换来的。不计结果的分析好做，具体到投资操作很难，故在介入此领域时，需要权衡自己需不需要交学费，自己能不能承受驾驭市场的学费。成熟的市场分析及投资有经验可取，但没有捷径可走。如果妄图规避荆棘丛生的锻炼之道而直取捷径，最终可能付出更为惨重的不成熟代价。
Since I think that market analysis and operations require more experience and experience, Kim Yeon has paid a lot of school fees and suffered a number of blowouts in the process. In the meantime, maturity has been exchanged for many failures.
就市场分析而言，有的投资者只会基本面分析，有的投资者认为只要技术分析就够了，很多分析人士或独走基本面路线，或独走技术面路线。关于基本面分析，金妍要告诉投资者的是，大多纷繁复杂的数据消息对市场而言没有过多的参考价值。很多关注基本面的投资者过于要求数据消息对市场立竿见影的效果，而理不出阶段性影响市场波动的主线。即便同样的线索，在不同的市场时期，对市场的影响效果也不同。
As far as market analysis is concerned, some investors only analyse fundamentals, and some think that only technical analysis is sufficient, with many analysts either taking the basic surface route alone or taking the technological surface route alone. With regard to fundamental analysis, Kim Yeon would like to tell investors that most of the complex data messages are of little value to the market.
就消息面而言，金妍觉得投资者可以着重关注的是灰度机构的增持情况，以及平时一些主力的动向。现在不少国家都在研究自己的数字货币，比如我国央.行、俄罗斯，等等这些消息面，都是影响比特币价格走势的。因为在各国抢夺市场的阶段，也是区块链行业暴.利的绝佳时机，当然，收益最大的还是比特币。我们都知道，美元的走势对比特币影响非常大，我们同时还应关注全球重要的政策与会议，尤其是美联储。比特币还会受到区域货币的影响，比如人民币、欧元等，我们就应该同时关注欧洲、亚洲各国央行，关注国际金融会议或一些国际组织的会议，以及他们发布的一些重要数据。对基本面分析，我们要保持长期触摸基本面的灵感，但更需学会过滤垃圾信息与梳理有用的基本面信息，而不是全部的垃圾毒素一并吸收，最终导致投资的消化不良。
As far as news is concerned, Kim Yeon feels that investors can focus on the growth of grey-scale institutions and the movement of some of the main forces in the world. Many countries are now studying their own digital currencies, such as the Chinese currency, Russia, and so on.
技术面来讲的话，各有各的分析手段与偏好。需要注意一点的是，不要过于要求在常态的技术环境中强行取舍。一个趋势的转变通常会出现相应极端的技术表现。故很多时候，金妍只关心技术面出现极端变化时，很多技术分析方法产生共振时的结论。就一次战略而言，如果基本面、技术面、以及资金流向分析方法皆得出大致相同的共振结论，那么在操作上就会尝试下重注。如果不同的分析方法得出自相矛盾的结果，金妍会稍显谨慎。而同一分析体系又有不同分析周期的取舍，同样难以短篇表明。
In technical terms, there are different analytical tools and preferences. It is important to note that there is not too much trade-offs to be made in the normal technological environment. A shift in trends usually results in the extremes of technology.
在具体投资操作上，投资者需要有自知之明的客观认识，选对适合自己能力的市场比什么都重要。切忌选择超出自己驾驭能力之外的市场品种。金妍认为，对没有丝毫金融投资经验，又希望接触数字货币投资的投资者而言，操作比特币、以太等的合约短线是不错的选择。对有一定基本面分析功底，但缺乏技术及更高风险管理手段的投资者而言，可以考虑合约短线加长线结合式的操作。对既有基本面分析功底，又有技术分析功底，且还有一定风险管理经验的投资者而言，可以尝试多做一些比特币、以太之外的其他产品结合操作。但需要进一步强调的，无论你是多么高强的老手，金妍老师都不希望起初投入保证金市场的资金超过整个理财资金的20%，甚至尽可能不要超过10%。除非你在保证金市场赚了很多后，用保证金市场的盈利加注，但切忌触犯起初设置的底线。
In specific investment operations, investors need to have a conscious and objective understanding of what is more important than choosing a market that is suited to their abilities. For investors that do not have any financial investment experience and want to be exposed to digital money investments, Kim Yeon believes that short-term contracts such as Bitcoin, Ether, etc. are a good option. For investors that have some basic analysis, but do not have the technology and higher risk management tools, it is possible to consider short-line and long-line combination operations. For investors that have both basic analyses, technical analysis and risk management experience, it is possible to try to combine some more bitcoins and other products.
总之，币圈投资市场是一个即简单，但市场本身亦复杂的市场，投资者需要根据自己的能力选择相应的市场领域，切忌超越自己的能力做选择。可以毫不夸张地说，不具备保证金市场经验的投资者盲目在保证金市场下重注，可以使你“一夜回到解放前”。
To sum up, the market for investment in currency circles is simple, but the market itself is complex, and investors need to choose their market areas according to their abilities, obsessing about going beyond their own capabilities. It is no exaggeration to say that investors who do not have the experience of the bond market focus on the bond market blindly, so that you can “get back to pre-liberation overnight.”
【以上内容是金妍从事研究金融产品投资行业多年，个人简单总结的一些经验技巧，希望对有缘的你有所帮助，如有看不懂的地方或者实际操作中自己操作不理想的都可以前来与金妍老师本人在线交流学习与探讨】
This is Kim Yeon's work in the financial investment industry for many years, and he has learned a few lessons from his own experience that he hopes will help you if you don't know what you're doing or if you're not doing well in practice, you can come and share with Kim Yeon on-line.
生活除了投资，还有诗和远方，以及金妍老师目前主要研究比特币、以太、合约、现货、黄金、原油、股票等投资领域，笔者涉足金融以及金融衍生品市场多年，实.盘指导经验丰富，以上内容是金妍个人简单总结的一些经验技巧，希望对有缘的你有所帮助，如有看不懂的地方或者实际操作中收益不理想的都可前来与金妍老师在线交流学习
In addition to investing, there are poetry and faraways, as well as the fact that Mr. Kim Yeon is currently focusing on investment in such areas as bitcoin, Ether, contract, spot, gold, crude oil, stock, and that I have been involved in the financial and derivatives markets for many years.
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