2022

比特币见底回升的概率更大，多头开始主导，行情继续低多为主，10 月份会反弹。

has a greater probability of the bottom up in bitcoin, which starts to dominate, continues to be largely low and will rebound in October.

今日关注

BTC、ETH、DOGE、SOL、ETC、APE、GMT

今日消息面

继美联储大幅加息和强势鹰派表态后，年内还有两次议息会议，分别在 11 月 2 日与 12 月 14 日，会议很可能还需再加息 125 个基点。

Following a significant increase in the Fed's interest rate and strong Eagles'pronouncements, there were also two plenary meetings in the course of the year, on 2 November and 14 December, respectively, which were likely to require an additional 125 basis points.

全球再掀加息狂潮紧随美联储，欧亚非7家央行一天内齐加息！欧美股市继续低迷。

The US Federal Reserve is followed by a global boom in interest, with seven central banks in Europe and Asia growing interest every day! The European and American stock markets continue to be depressed.

俄罗斯进行部分动员，俄乌冲突有加剧的趋势。

Russia is partially mobilized and there is a tendency to intensify the conflict in Russia and Ukraine.

目前 11 月加息 75 个基点的概率为 69.7%，大概率本轮熊市 11 月份见底。

At present, the probability of a monthly interest increase of 75 basis points is 69.7 per cent, which is probably the end of the month of November in the City of Bears.

LTC 老公链，明年有减半利好，APE 最近 A16Z 有买入，定投。

LTC's husband chain, it's half good next year, APE's recently A16Z's buyin' in, pitchin' in.

今日技术面

比特币和以太坊从死亡边缘拉了回来，日线阳包阴，把前两天的跌幅吃完了，目前处于压力颈线下暂时压制。

Bitcoin and Etheria were pulled back from the edge of death, the sun was closed, the fall of the previous two days was exhausted and is now under pressure for the time being.

比特币短期见底回升的概率更大，一是因为技术上已到前期底部，有支撑；二是加息靴子落地，十月加息空档，距离下次加息会议还有两个多月，市场迎来喘息时间；三是，如果这里破位下跌，从度量幅度以及前期支撑(2020年 10 月底)，还将再跌 20%左右。

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短周期横盘的时间越长，向上的空间越大。所以今天的行情预计继续震荡上行。

The longer it takes, the greater the space up. So today's behavior is expected to continue to vibrate.

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