今日依据比特币白皮书《比特币：一种点对点式的电子现金系统》毕业论文为大家带来了BTC历史时间价格走势图表及btc大涨暴跌其背后的因果分析，一起来印证BTC历史吧。
Today, based on the Bitcoin White Paper Bitcoin: A Point-to-Point Electronic Cash System graduation paper, you are presented with a chart of BTC's historical time price trends and a causal analysis behind the btc surge to prove BTC's history.
BTC2010年-2020年历史时间价格行情预测
BTC第一次买卖被记载的标志性事件是2010年5月份，一个程序猿使用了1万枚BTC互相交换二块使用价值25美金的比萨，这便是BTC在历史上著名的“BTC比萨”事情，利用测算获知这时比特币的价格为0.0025美金。
The first documented incident of BTC's sale was in May 2010, when a program ape used 10,000 BTCs to exchange two pieces of pizza worth $25, which is the historic BTC's famous “BTC pizza” which was calculated at a price of US$ 0.0025.
从0.0025美金到6万美金，BTC是怎样一步步发展到今天位置，它也将去向何方?不如我们可以借此机会一同回望BTC这数年间价格行情，剖析它增涨或下跌缘故，并以此整理出一丝规律性，进而对预测将来比特币的价格行情给予一定的参照。
From US$ 0.0025 to US$ 60,000, how does the BTC move to today’s position, and where will it go? How about we take this opportunity to look back at BTC’s price movements over the years, analyze the reasons for its increase or decline, and sort out a pattern, and then give some reference to predicting future prices in bitcoin.
自1万枚比特币购买二块比萨后，比特币的价格逐渐上涨，资料显示，在2010年7月18日时，比特币的价格已经达到0.06美金，较0.0025美元上涨了23倍。
The price of bitcoin has been rising steadily since 10,000 bitcoins were purchased of two pieces of pizza, and information indicates that by 18 July 2010, the price of bitcoin had reached US$ 0.06, a 23-fold increase over US$ 0.0025.
BTC价格的节节攀升，也使得比特币交易所如雨后春笋不断涌现，而且当时世界最大的交易中心应属门头沟区交易中心(Mt.Gox)。2010年11月，BTC价格一度达到0.5美金，相比最初比萨价格，翻有近200倍。
The boom in BTC prices has also led to the emergence of the Bitcoin Exchange, the largest trading centre in the world at that time, the Mt.Gox. In November 2010, BTC prices once reached $0.5 million, nearly 200 times higher than the initial pizza price.
2011年4月-6月，只用了2个月时间，BTC先从0.68美金的价格飙升到30美金周边，《时代周刊》、《福布斯》等新闻媒体都陆续发布了有关比特币的文章内容。
In April-June 2011, it took only two months for BTC to jump from a price of $0.68 to around $30, and news outlets such as Times Weekly and Forbes published articles about Bitcoin.
好景不长，Mt.Gox交易平台出现网络黑客袭击事件，加上那时候市场深度不够，几个卖盘下来，价格就难以支撑点，因此2011年6月到11月，BTC价格从高些32美元下跌至2美金，下滑达94%。虽然此次比特币的大幅度波动劝退了一部分人员，却也让广大认可它的价值的投资人看到了比特币的发展潜力，坚定再次项目投资坚定的信念。
As a result, BTC prices fell from a high of $32 to $2 between June and November 2011, down 94%. While the heavy volatility of Bitcoin has discouraged some of its staff, it has also exposed widely recognized investors to the development potential of bitcoins and a strong conviction to reinvest in projects.
通过1年多的沉寂后，BTC在2013年2月再次突破了30美金。2013年在比特币的在历史上拥有浓墨重彩的一笔，由于在这一年，BTC“避险资产”的特性被挖掘，到此打开了比特币的第二轮大牛市。
After more than a year of silence, BTC made another breakthrough of $30 in February 2013. The historical ink in Bitcoin in 2013 opened the second round of Bitcoin's cattle market, as the BTC's “risk-free assets” were excavated during the year.
2013年，爱沙尼亚爆发很严重的经济危机。为应对危机，爱沙尼亚政府部门最后决定放弃未保险存款人权益来获取救济金，并且对高过10万欧元储蓄冻洁用以处理债务危机。
In response to the serious economic crisis that broke out in Estonia in 2013, the Estonian Government finally decided to give up the rights of uninsured depositors in order to obtain benefits and to freeze more than 100,000 euros in savings to deal with the debt crisis.
政府部门不当的措施导致了群众很大的焦虑，及其对银行产品安全性明显怀疑，这时一部分爱沙尼亚群众看到了不同于主权货币以外，且处在价格升高周期BTC，因为BTC“区块链技术”、“总产量稳定”的特性，让许多群众觉得BTC也许是解决本次困境的不二之选，于是他竞相购买BTC。3月1日-4月9日，一个多月的日子里，BTC价格从33美元上涨至令人咂舌的235美金。遗憾这种价格并没有支撑多长时间，自此BTC价格又下降到80美金周边。
Irresponsible measures by the government led to a lot of anxiety among the population and a clear suspicion about the safety of bank products, when part of the Estonian population saw BTC as different from the sovereign currency and in a high-price cycle, because of the BTC's “block chain technology” “stability of total production” character, which led many to think that BTC might be the alternative to resolving this dilemma, and he competed to buy BTC. On March 1, April 9, more than a month later, BTC prices rose from $33 to an impressive $235. Unfortunately, this price did not last much longer, and BTC prices fell again to around $80.
但这次事件让更多人意识到了比特币的使用价值，BTC价格在2013年年末也迎来了更大一轮上涨，从106美金最大飙涨至1177美金，那也是在历史上一枚BTC价格初次超出1盎司黄金的价格，BTC打开了新篇章。
But the incident made more people aware of the usage value of Bitcoin, and BTC prices also picked up in late 2013 by a larger round, from $106 to $1177, which was the first time in history that an BTC price exceeded the price of 1 ounce of gold, and BTC opened a new chapter.
但是由于Mt.Gox失窃很多BTC后宣告破产，恐慌情绪弥漫着，加上一部分政策利空消息落地式，因而BTC波动往下，销售市场再度进到漫长股市熊市。在2013-2015年，BTC价格较多跌了90%。
But because of Mt. Gox’s theft of many BTCs and subsequent bankruptcy, panic and a combination of a policy failure, the BTC fluctuated, and the marketing market went back to the long stock market. In 2013-2015, BTC prices fell by 90% more.
时间最好的良药，通过两年的时间的变化，比特币的贸易市场慢慢修复。2016年，BTC迎来第二次递减，加上以太币的兴起，区块链市场行业又一次导致了大家的高度关注，投资人总数出现严重提高，BTC也打开了第三轮增涨之途。
The best-time drug, with two years of change, has been slowly restored in Bitcoin’s trade market. In 2016, the BTC experienced a second contraction, with the rise of the Ether, which led to yet another high level of concern in the block chain market sector, a significant increase in the total number of investors, and a third round of growth in the BTC.
即便期内经历过BTC第一次分岔及其9·4狂跌事情，但投资者们的激情依然不降。从2017年11月逐渐，BTC一路高歌猛进，价格也暴涨到有近2万美元的历史时间上位。回顾这一年，BTC价格从789美元涨至近2万元，最大上涨幅度达到24倍。BTC位居千亿市值行列，也获得大量流行金融体系及新闻媒体的高度关注。
Even after the BTC’s first break-up and its 9/4 crash, the enthusiasm of investors continued unabated. From November 2017, BTC sprung up, and prices jumped to almost $20,000 in history.
但是由于后面利好消息支撑点不够，如区块链技术仅局限在初始阶段，并未规模性落地式，再加上销售市场并不健全，理财工具偏少，因而BTC由牛转熊，打开了将近三年的波动下挫，最少止跌3000美金，相比最高处下滑约83%。
But because the latter good news does not support the point, such as block chain technology, which is limited to the initial phase and is not scalding in size, coupled with a weak marketing market and a lack of financial management tools, BTC has been foiled by fluctuations from cattle to bears for nearly three years, with a minimum drop of $3,000, a decline of about 83 per cent compared to the highest.
2019年销售市场转暖，BTC慢慢被组织和大众熟知。到2020年，新冠肺炎疫情全球爆发，全世界市场经济体制再次发生可变性，美国股票数次融断，经济疲软，以欧美国家为代表的多个国家中央银行选用随性的财政政策刺激经济，应对通胀和美金消费力很有可能逐渐消弱的焦虑，投资者们再度把目光落到了具备抗通胀性BTC的身上。
By 2020, the global outbreak of the neo-crowd pneumonia epidemic, the revariability of market-based institutions around the world, the collapse of United States equities, the weakness of the economy, the use of pass-through fiscal policies by central banks in various countries represented by the European and American countries to stimulate the economy, and to deal with inflationary and dollar-consumption anxiety are likely to weaken, and investors are again looking to the BTC, which is anti-inflation-resistant.
和以往不一样的是促进本次BTC走牛的投资人再也不是个人投资者，反而是组织们。自灰度值比特币基金私募基金打开“疯狂购物”方式后，BTC价格不断上升，加上各种上市公司涌进，及其理财工具的日趋完善，虚拟货币交易价格不断上升，轻轻松松翻过2017年前高，一路来到6万美金周边。尽管现在BTC还是处于高位震荡区，但大多数投资人觉得大牛市依然会不断。
Unlike in the past, BTC investors are no longer private investors, but organizations. The BTC prices have been rising since the start of the “crazy shopping” by the Bitcoin Fund's private fund at the grey scale, coupled with the influx of various listed companies and the improvement of their financial instruments, the price of virtual currency transactions, which rose lightly over 2017, have gone all the way around $60,000.
新鲜事物的高速发展一直曲折，但是也是不可战胜的。BTC在仅存的12年史记中，经历过被猜疑——被认可——被给与新的期待——被心寒——又被赞同的发展历程，所以该全过程在每一次摆脱重构后变得越来越牢固，而这一认知能力体现到BTC价格和总市值上是高些持续上升，范围日渐巨大。
The rapid pace of development of new things has been incorruptible, but it has also been invincible. In the last 12 years of history, BTC has experienced a process of development that has been supported by suspicion — recognition — and new expectations — and by coldness — so that the process has become more and more solid every time it has been removed from the re-establishment process, and this cognitive ability has been reflected in the continued rise in BTC prices and overall market value, which is growing in scope.
过回望BTC历史时间价格的改变，大家发现行情有如下特点：
Looking back at BTC's historical time price changes, the following characteristics were observed:
我们可以把不同维度变长，以年为基准来说比特币的价格，能够得知，BTC历史时间价格处在增长的趋势。仔细观察BTC历史时间价格发觉BTC经历过四次暴涨，第一次最上涨到31.90美金，对比之前0.50美金最高点，上涨幅度达6280%;第二次上涨的巅峰时刻达到1177.19美金，对比之前31.90美金，上升了3590%;第三次暴涨，BTC价格达到19764.51美金，与之前高些对比，上升了1579%;第四次大牛市仍在继续，就以目前为止的最高处64846.90美元计算，跟之前最高处对比上涨幅度达到228%。
We can expand the dimensions to bitcoin prices for the year’s base, and we can learn that BTC’s historical time price is on the rise. A closer look at BTC’s historical time price suggests that BTC has experienced four surges, the first up to $31.90, compared with the previous peak of $0.50, which rose by 6280%; the second peak rise, which reached $1177.19, compared to the previous peak of $31.90, which rose by 3590%; the third upturn, with BTC’s price rising by 1579% compared to the previous height of 19764.51; and the fourth cow market, which continues to rise by 228% at the current peak of $64846.90, compared to the previous peak of $64846.90.90.
尽管BTC在历史上发生过两次很明显的价格大幅度起伏，那如果把时间轴变长，你就会发现这几回涨跌幅波动范围在历史的长河中莫过于此，事实上，假如我们把比特币的历史时间高些相匹配下去，就会发现长期投资仍然是赢利的。BTC一路飞驰人生，逐渐被销售市场认可、怀疑、修补，其价格也在不断地迈向新纪录，突破着大家的认识。
Despite two significant price fluctuations in BTC’s history, if the timeline were to grow, you would find that these booms and drops were more extensive than in the rivers of history. In fact, if we match Bitcoin’s history with higher historical times, we would find that long-term investments are still profitable.
之所以叫BTC是一个非常值得长线投资品种，除开其历史时间价格行情呈上升之态外，大家不妨拿比特币的行情与标准普尔500、道琼斯、金子、白金、石油的长期投资对比一下。
The BTC is a very worthwhile type of long-term investment, and apart from its historical price escalation, one can compare Bitcoin's behavior with the long-term investments in Standard & Poor's 500, Dow Jones, gold, platinum and oil.
图中能够得知，2021年刚到3月中下旬，原油下跌10%，黄金和白银各自上升了44%和72%，但BTC再度期内却上升了754%，盈利令人震惊，远远地把其他投资种类甩在了后面。
As can be seen from the figure, while crude oil fell by 10 per cent in mid-March and gold and silver rose by 44 per cent and 72 per cent respectively in 2021, BTC rose by 754 per cent in the second half of the year, making alarming profits, leaving other types of investment far behind.
在世界经济充斥着不确定性的前提下，BTC凭着自己的价值优点踏出与众不同的市场行情，欧易平台网站表明BTC最大现货交易价格达64846.9美金，使人们重新了解它的价值，再一次见识到了比特币投资独特的魅力。
In the face of uncertainty in the world economy, the BTC has taken a different market stance based on its own value merits, and the ELEP website shows that the BTC's largest spot transaction price amounts to $64846.9, rediscovering its value and seeing once again the unique charm of Bitcoin investment.
以史为镜!回首过去为了更好的预知未来。以往比特币的周期和价格起伏是投资者们可以参考一下的重要指标，发觉汇总这其中的规律性，可以对投资人的将来管理决策起到一定的功效。
Looking back to the past for a better vision of the future. Past cycles and price fluctuations in bitcoin are important indicators that investors can refer to, and find that the aggregation of these patterns can have some effect on the future management decisions of investors.
启迪一：将周期变长，比特币的价格是持续上升的，虽然短时间存有价格起伏，但很多意识到它的价值的投资人都会选择长期投资。
Indication One: Longer cycles, with the price of bitcoin rising continuously, and despite price fluctuations over short periods of time, many investors who are aware of its value choose to invest in the long term.
启迪二：BTC强烈拉涨之后会有下挫风险性，投资人可以根据历史时间BTC价格的跌涨周期时间把控风险。
Enlightenment II: BTC surges can have a negative impact on risk, and investors can manage the risk at a time when BTC prices fall at historical times.
启迪三：假如投资人买在了BTC现货交易高些，也不要太过担忧。依据BTC价格行情来说，只需耐心的等待BTC下一个新高的来临，就可以守得云开见月明。
Intriguing three: If the investor buys BTC a higher spot deal, don't worry about it. According to BTC prices, just wait patiently for BTC's next height to arrive, and we can keep up with the moon.
就像上面常说，此次BTC大牛市和以往不一样的是，关键引领者再也不是个人投资者，反而是传统式金融企业、知名投资人，而且他们对比特币的将来都持积极心态。
As has often been said, unlike in the past, the BTC Cattle City is no longer a private investor, but rather a traditional financial enterprise, a well-known investor, and they have a positive attitude towards the future of Bitcoin.
经统计拥有比特币的组织总共33个，在其中上市企业约17家，非上市4家，股票基金12支。此外，一些国际性互联网大佬，如微软公司、PayPal、overstock、万事达卡等早已适用BTC付款，但这些能量仍在日益壮大。
A total of 33 organizations, including about 17 listed businesses, 4 non-listed, and 12 equity funds, have been counted as having Bitcoin. In addition, some international Internet users, such as Microsoft, PayPal, overstock, MasterCard, etc., are already paying for BTC, but the energy is still growing.
事物的发展是前行性和曲折性的统一。根据回望BTC历史时间价格行情，数据加密圈早已摆脱最初的心浮气躁盲目跟风环节，加密资产的经济环境日益合规管理，理财工具日渐健全，上市企业、大中型企业等陆续入场，大家有理由坚信，BTC正一步步走向流行。历史总是惊人的相似，但不会重蹈覆辙，只需实际操作恰当，便会有着远高于传统式股票市场的投资收益率，那也是再生A股市场展现出来的令人震惊发展前景及风采!
According to the historical BTC prices, the data encrypting circle has moved away from its initial moody, blindness, the economic environment of encrypted assets has become more regulated, financial instruments are becoming more robust, and there is reason to believe that the BTC is becoming popular. History is always amazingly similar, but it will not repeat itself, and if it works properly, there will be an investment rate far higher than that shown in the traditional stock market, which is also an alarming prospect of development and booming in the regenerative A stock market!
2008年金融风暴大爆发，同一年，量子链在“metzdowd.com(密码朋克)”页面的邮件归档中发布了一篇名为《比特币：一种点对点式的电子现金系统》毕业论文，人叫“比特币白皮书”，比特币的定义从而问世。
In 2008, when the financial storm broke out, the same year, the quantum chain published a graduation paper in the mail archive on the “metzdowd.com” page, entitled Bitcoin: an electronic cash system with a point-to-point approach, called the “bitcoin white paper”, and the definition of Bitcoin came to life.
2009年1月3日，比特币的第一个区块链“创世区块”被挖出来，标志着BTC互联网的运行，则意味着加密资产和区块链技术健身运动的开端。需要注意的是，最初2年BTC并不在贸易市场商品流通，而是用程序猿中间赠予奖励激励的方式运转。
On January 3, 2009, Bitcoin’s first block chain, the “Creation Block”, was dug up, marking the operation of the BTC Internet, which means the start of a technical fitness campaign to encrypt assets and block chains. It is important to note that the first two years of BTC did not run in the trade market, but in the form of incentives from procedural apes.
BTC在2021 年起以每枚货币32,000 美金的价格买卖，在2020 年末超过2017 多年的历史高些20,000 美金。这类行业领先的数字货币在2021 年再次其2020 年反跳，并且在2021年11月份BTC价格创下历史新高，但在随后的一个月内，比特币走势慢慢降低，到12月初比特币大跌，在其中主要的原因与新冠病毒变异变异蔓延相关，此病毒感染早已蔓延最少38个国家和地区，这38个国家和地区之中包括了大部分比特币投资。
BTC has been buying and selling at $32,000 per currency since 2021, and at the end of 2020 it was more than $20,000 higher than it had been for more than 2017 years. The leading digital currency in this industry rebounded again in 2021 in 2020 and in November 2021 BTC prices hit a record high, but in the following month, Bitcoin moved slowly down and by early December Bitcoin fell, mainly because of the spread of the new crown virus, which has already spread in 38 countries and territories, including most of its investments.
在过去52 个星期内，2022年比特币的价格上升了72%。2022年BTC价格在10200上下波动，24钟头上涨幅度近7%。6月26日，BTC价格一举提升12000美金，创出自去年1月来近17月高些。6月27日早上，BTC价格一度贴近14000美金，再次创下年之内新纪录。因此BTC未来价格行情并不是可控。实际上，比特币走势显而易见比普通的股市更强。依据历史波动率数据信息，BTC更有优势，260天波动性考量也创出迄今为止最低标准。2017年BTC价格创下历史新高时，不确定性是Nasdaq的七倍，但目前只有二倍。值得一提的是，BTC相对性。
In the past 52 weeks, BTC prices have risen by 72% in 2022. BTC prices fluctuated at 10200 in 2022, rising by almost 7% in 24 hours. On 26 June, BTC prices rose by $12,000, almost 17 years higher since last January. In the morning of June 27, BTC prices were once close to $14,000, again recording a new record in the year.
但是在这里十几年的历史时间里，BTC总体价格和总市值是不断上升的，从2019年逐渐算，那时候BTC还只有一万美元的价格，但是现在BTC早已数倍了。但总而言之，BTC依然是一个新起还缺乏足够的规范化的贸易市场，在这个行业里，其不值。4月中下旬，BTC创出64838美元的历史新纪录，接着持续下跌。目前为止，已从历史高些下挫约2.3万美金，下滑将近30%。在数字货币世界中，BTC是名副其实的引领者。上年，由于比特币的价格忽然增涨，好多人越来越颇具。
But over the course of more than a decade of history, BTC's overall prices and total market value have been rising, from 2019 to 2019, when BTC had only $10,000, but it has already doubled. But, in sum, BTC is still a new and insufficiently regulated trade market, and it is not worth it in this industry. In mid-April, BTC made a new record of $64838, followed by a steady decline.
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