周四比特币从19300美元一度跌至16327美元，跌幅将近3000美元，目前火币上报价17215，24小时下跌接近10%。
& nbsp; once on Thursday, Bitcoin fell from $19,300 to $16327, a drop of almost $3,000, and currently the bid for 17215 24 hours fell by almost 10 per cent.
比特币以微弱的差距错过了历史高点，不过意料之外情理之中。
Bitcoin missed historical heights with a small gap, but unexpectedly.
coindesk文章分析，此次大幅跳水由三个原因造成：
According to a coindisk post, this massive dive was caused by three causes:
1、过度使用杠杆
在过去的24小时内，近20亿美元的衍生品头寸遭到清算。根据Bybit的数据，这其中，有超过16亿美元的合约是在过去12小时内被平仓。
In the last 24 hours, nearly $2 billion of derivative positions have been liquidated. According to Bybit, more than $1.6 billion of these contracts have been levelled in the last 12 hours.
跳水之前，比特币期货市场出现过热迹象，永续合约市场中持有多头头寸的成本(也称为融资利率)在过去几天中已急剧上升至0.098%的数月高位。
Prior to the dive, there were signs of overheating in the Bitcoin futures market, and the cost of holding multiple positions in the permanent contract market (also known as the financing rate) has risen sharply over the past few days to a few months high of 0.098 per cent.
根据Glassnode的最新数据，随着比特币价格的下跌，融资利率已降至0.011%。实际上，过度的杠杆被挤出了。
According to the latest data from Glasnode, with the fall in bitcoin prices, the financing interest rate has fallen to 0.011%. In fact, excessive leverage has been squeezed out.
2、技术回调
2, technical echo
在过去的七周里，比特币从10,000美元上涨至19,400美元，技术面涨幅过大。
In the past seven weeks, Bitcoin had risen from $10,000 to $19,400, with an excessive technological increase.
比特币势头强劲，一直沿着10日均线向上，尽管14天相对强弱指数(RSI)已经出现超买。
Bitcoin has been strong and has been up the 10-day average, although the relative strength and weakness index (RSI) has been overpurchased for 14 days.
市场很少会出现那种90度直线上涨，所以一定涨幅后，投机者普遍倾向于先止盈落袋为安。在过去的几次牛市中，比特币出现的几次回调，幅度基本都在20%以上。
The 90-degree straight rise in the market is rare, so there is a general tendency on the part of speculators, after a certain increase. In the past few cattle markets, bitcoin has been retweeted several times, roughly by more than 20%.
随着价格回落，比特币走势跌至10日均线之下，RSI重新调整。Stack Funds的分析师Dibb表示，这是一个健康的回调。
As prices fall, bitcoin moves down below the 10-day average, and RSI readjustments. According to Stack Funds analyst Dibb, this is a healthy return.
市场普遍认为，有回落的上涨普遍比直线拉升的持续性更强。
It is generally accepted in the market that falling ups are generally stronger than straight-up continuity.
Deribit Insights已经观测到，一些交易员已经通过买入看跌期权来对抗回落。
Deribit Insights have observed that a number of traders have been able to counter decline by buying watch options.
3、一些其它的因素
3, some other factors
分析师Alex Kruger认为，Coinbase首席执行官Brian Armstrong推特上暗示美国财政部有可能计划追踪自托管加密货币钱包所有者的消息减弱了比特币的牛市上涨势头，加速了回落。另外，Coinbase还被CFTC责令限期关闭保证金交易。
According to analyst Alex Kruger, what Coinbase’s CEO, Brian Armstrong, tweets suggest is that the U.S. Treasury may be planning to track down the owners of secure currency wallets from the United States Treasury, slowing the growth of the cattle market in Bitcoin and accelerating the fall. In addition, Coinbase has been ordered by the CFTC to close the bond deal for a limited period.
Kruger表示，如果Armstrong推特上所说的成为事实，那么带来的影响将是消极的，尽管短期内还不太可能会立即执行。
Kruger stated that if what Armstrong tweets said became a fact, the impact would be negative, although it would not be possible to implement it immediately in the short term.
分析认为，OKEx开放提币是另外一个导致跳水的原因。CF Benchmarks首席执行官Sui Chung表示，OKEx上冻结的币目前基本上都有70%的涨幅，一旦这些币可以自由出货，持有这些币的用户兑现利润的欲望强烈，从而增加抛售压力。
Analysis suggests that the opening up of currencies by OKEx is another cause of the dive. The CEO of CF Benchmarks, Sui Chung, states that the frozen currencies on OKEx are currently almost 70 per cent larger, and once they are freely available, the desire of the users who hold these currencies to cash their profits increases the pressure to sell them.
4、仍然看涨
分析师Kruger认为，尽管价格短期下跌，但看涨的宏观因素(如机构参与度增加，央行印钞放水以及资金追求避险保值)等依然不变。
According to the analyst Kruger, despite short-term price declines, macro-factors such as increased institutional involvement, central bank printing of banknotes and the pursuit of hedges remain constant.
根据Glassnode的数据，周四的持有情绪仍然强劲，在加密货币交易所持有的比特币数量(交易所余额)为2,384,913，这是自2018年8月以来的最低水平。
According to Glasnode, the holding mood on Thursday remained strong, with the number of bitcoins held on the encrypted currency exchange (exchange balance) at 2,384,913, the lowest level since August 2018.
交易所余额数据表明，投资者将当前的下跌视为牛市中的正常回落，并对加密货币的长期前景保持信心。
Exchange balance data indicate that investors view the current decline as a normal fall in the cattle market and maintain confidence in the long-term prospects for encrypted currencies.
Crypto Broker的Heusser预计，在恢复上升趋势之前，短期内比特币将在$ 17,500到$ 19,000的范围内震荡。
Heusser in Crypto Broker expects to shock within the range of $17,500 to $19,000 in the short term until the upward trend is restored.
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