自去年6月10日跌下3万美元关口后,时隔10个月比特币收复失地。今天上午比特币最高上涨至30500美元,暂报30200美元,24小时涨幅6.3%,年内涨幅82%。特别是ETH,多次未能突破2000美元阻力位,走势上相对较为弱势,受整体行情上行影响,目前加密总市值升至12354亿美元,24小时上涨4.5%;从年初以来,加密总市值累计上涨4069亿美元,累计涨幅49.1%。加密用户交易热情明显上升,今日恐慌与贪婪指数为68,贪婪程度较昨日上升,等级仍为贪婪。关于本轮行情上涨,市场分析认为主要有两个直接推手:一是香港大会,二是国内三大应用商上线比特币行情。
This morning, Bitcoin rose to a maximum of $30,500, provisionally reported $30,200, a 24-hour increase of 6.3%, an increase of 82% during the year. In particular, ETH, which failed many times to break through the 2,000-dollar resistance position, was relatively vulnerable and was influenced by the overall upturn, with the total value of encryption now rising to $12.54 billion, or 4.5% in 24 hours; since the beginning of the year, the total market value of encryption has risen cumulatively by $40.69 billion, or 49.1% in aggregate.
消息面上,昨晚百度以及抖音App等上线比特币行情数据查询,也被解读为本次上涨的一大推手,有意思的是,本周恰逢Web3香港区块链周,「逢会必跌」的魔咒似乎被打破。从宏观经济条件来看,美联储加息在下半年可能放缓,市场对后市走势较为乐观,美联储主席鲍威尔此前曾表示关注就业空缺、CPI、PPI和就业数据,而4月7日晚公布的美国3月非农数据显示,劳动力市场已经出现降温的迹象。需要注意的是,虽然加密市场主流币比特币长期看涨,但短期内可能面临的另一个压力是美国政府抛售。根据法庭文件显示,美国政府没收了与暗网丝绸之路有关的5万个BTC,并于今年3月14日出售9800枚BTC,计划于今年分4批出售剩余41500枚(价值约12.5亿美元)。对于市场来说,这将会是不小的抛压。
On macroeconomic terms, the Fed’s interest increase may slow in the second half of the year, the market is more optimistic about the post-market situation, with Fed President Powell’s earlier concerns about job vacancies, CPI, PPI, and employment data, while the March non-farm data published on the evening of April 7 in the United States show signs of a cooling of the labour market. It is interesting to note that, while the dominant currency of the crypto market has been rising for a long time, another pressure that the US government may face in the short term is selling. According to court documents, the US government has confiscated 50,000 BTCs associated with the Dark Silk Road and sold 9,800 BTCs on 14 March this year, and is planning to sell the remaining 41,500 (with a value of about $1.25 billion) in four batches this year.
4月11日比特币(BTC)行情解读及部分合约交易策略:比特币今日方面大周期日线级别昨日报收中阳,价格有效突破前期高点位置且价格运行于均线上方,带动附图指标快慢线有粘合金叉迹象;短周期小时图价格在凌晨破高,今日早间没有延续而是回撤修正,所以不能直接多,凌晨的低点位置在29000区域,今日如果继续看日线连阳的话,那么回撤就不能大,行情大概率会进行震荡修复,综合来看:行情目前突破关键压力位区间28800-29000一线并站稳向上突破30000整数关口,行情若回踩关注下方29000附近能否形成顶底转换。因此今日BTC短线合约交易策略:回踩下方29350区域多,止损29000下方位置,目标30200-30500区域;当前情况空单需要更加谨慎,盘中给出,建议仅供参考,行情万般变化,实盘交易为准。
On April 11, Bitcoin (BTC) read the situation and partially contracted the transaction strategy: yesterday was the mid-day news of the large cycle of Bitcoin today, with prices effectively breaking through the pre-frontal high-point and prices running above the average line, with signs of sticky gold fork in the fast-drawn line; the short-cycle hour map price fell in the early morning, did not continue earlier today, but was revised back, so that it was not possible to go back directly to the 29,000 area, and today, if we continued to look back at the sun, the retreat would not be large, and presumably a shock repair would be carried out: the situation would now break through the 28,800-29,000 line in the critical pressure zone, and it would be more cautious, and it would be recommended that the situation should be reversed in the immediate vicinity of 29,000. So today, the BTC short-line trading strategy: to step back into the 29350 area, with less damage to the target of 29,000, would be reduced to the 30,000-300,500 area.
4月11日以太坊(ETH)行情解读及部分合约交易策略:以太坊今日方面大周期日线级别昨日报收小阳线,价格运行在均线上方,周日收出阳十字星,结束了三连阴,布林带处在收敛口中,受布林中轨1810支撑。但没有破位前期的高点位置,附图指标快慢线粘合金叉运行;这里需要注意一点,大家可能会想,昨日强势上涨,价格不破高是不是有压制,这个想法没错,但是目前走势还是有明显的要价迹象,所以破高会是大概率事件。短线走势上看整体在上周冲高触及1940一线后开始跌落,从时间上来看对以太是不利的,升级的时间临近,多头如果再不发动进攻,可能等升级开始反弹的机会就小了。因此今日ETH短线合约交易策略:回撤1875-1880区域多,止损放在1850区域,目标看1945-1950区域;反抽1965区域空单进场,止损2000上方区域,目标看1900-1885区域,短线交易,控制风险,盈亏自理;
On April 11th, with the ETH reading and part of the contract trading strategy: yesterday, with the TP’s large-cycle solar-line level, it was wrong to think about whether there was repression, but with prices running above the average line, the sun crucifixes coming out on Sunday, ending with the Brim belt in the middle of the bridge, backed by the 1810 in Boolin track. There was no break at the top of the pre-date position, and the speed of the escalation was near; there might be little chance of an upturn if there was no attack, and today’s ETH’s short-line trading strategy: 1875-1880 is over, 1850 is over, 1850 is over, and the 1950’s low-risk zone is under control; and there’s a reduction of 1 – 1 – 1 – 1 – 18 – is overflowing.
市场(BTC,ETH,EOS)很单纯,复杂的是人,不要被情绪控制自己,做到计划交易,计划盈利。每日分享有笔者币圈那点事独家分享,对于交易不顺建议关注本人和笔者同行,让你的交易更加简单
The market (BTC, ETH, EOS) is simple and complex. It's people who don't get emotional control over themselves, plan transactions, plan profits. Share the money on a daily basis.
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