文章编辑时间4月8日0:20分
The article was edited on 8 April at 0:20 p.m.
周五晚间20:30公布3月非农数据,公布值23.6,小于预期23.9,3月失业率公布值3.5%,小于预期3.6%。数据公布后大饼以太没什么波动影响不大。
Non-farm data for March were released at 20:30 on Friday evening, with a published value of 23.6, less than expected 23.9 and a published unemployment rate of 3.5 per cent in March, less than expected at 3.6 per cent.
美国经济在3月份继续快速创造就业机会,将失业率推低至3.5%,这是劳动力市场持续紧张的迹象,美联储可能会在下个月再次加息。据CME"美联储观察"数据显示,美联储5月加息25个基点的概率为56.1%,较非农公布前有所增加,5月停止加息的概率降至43.9%。
The United States economy continued to create jobs rapidly in March, pushing unemployment down to 3.5%, a sign of continued labour-market tension, with the Fed likely to raise interest again next month. According to CME "Freakwatch" data, the Fed had a 56.1% chance of raising interest on 25 basis points in May, an increase in the probability of stopping interest increases in May, down to 43.9% compared to before non-farmer announcements.
金融市场压力在就业报告中有所体现还为时过早。美联储官员现将等待晚些时候的通胀数据,以评估他们对货币政策紧缩行动的影响。一些经济学家预计,今年下半年就业人数增长将转为负值,这将迫使美联储开始降息,以避免经济陷入深度衰退。虽然美联储主席鲍威尔反驳了这一假设,但这些经济学家表示,美国经济的部分领域,如房地产,已陷入衰退,而银行采取更严格的贷款标准,意味着美国经济中的信贷将受到更大限制。
Some economists expect employment growth to turn negative in the second half of this year, which will force the Fed to start cutting interest rates in order to avoid a deep recession. While Fed Chairman Powell rebuts this assumption, these economists say that parts of the US economy, such as real estate, are in recession, while banks adopt stricter lending standards, implying greater restrictions on credit in the US economy.
大饼截至发稿前高点28100附近,低点27760附近。大饼在冲高29000上方后开始回调,多头一直没有持续发力开始走回落,这两天一直在28000一带反复,短线走势相对较为弱势,目前依然在28500-27500区间运行。按照当前的走势来看,无论是宏观数据还是技术面上看,后市的趋势应该都是继续向上的,突破 30000 只是时间问题,但在突破前很可能要往下走一波,然后才会筑底走出新一轮主升浪。
The big cakes, which began to bounce back after they hit above 29,000, have been repeated around 28,000, the short-line movement has been relatively weak, and are still operating in the 28500-27500 area. According to current trends, both macro-data and technology, the post-market trend should continue upwards and break 30000 is only a matter of time, but it is likely to go down for a single wave before the break.
日线上看,布林带处于收敛口中,目前受布林上轨28800压制。从4小时图来看,布林带平行运行,受布林下轨27700支撑,MCAD温和放量,KDJ在35附近交替运行。短线还是继续关注27500支撑,若跌破将看到箱体下沿26500,周末一般波动不大操作上可高抛低吸。日内上方关注压力28500-28800,下方关注支撑27500-27300。建议27500-27700区间轻仓多,止损放到27000下方,目标看到28000-28300。28200-28300区间轻仓空,止损放到28800上方,目标27800-27500. 行情变化万千,具体操作以实时策略为主。一颗红心做好两手准备嘉威F六伍柒零八零,浮竹提醒切记带好止损止盈
According to the 4-hour map, the Bryn belt is running in parallel, backed by the Boolin track 27,700, and the MCAD temperature and release, KDJ is running in the vicinity of 35. The short line continues to be supported by 27,500. If it falls, it will see 26,500 below the box, and the weekends will generally be less volatile and less heavy. The upper side is concerned with pressure 28500-28800, and the lower side is concerned with maintaining pressure 27500-27300. It is recommended that the light silos of 27500-27700, with damage below 27000, see target 28000-28300. The light silos of 28200-28300, with damage above 28,800, with target 27800-2750. The operation will be based on a real-time strategy.
以太坊截至发稿前高点1880附近,低点1840附近。整体波动不大,昨日反弹触及1880遇阻后开始回落,随后在1850一带整理,昨日浮竹也说过1850为短期多空风水岭,若有效跌破1850将有更深的回调,将看到前期支撑1760。1850若能够得到有效支撑,那么能够开始展开继续上行的走势。整体而言大方向可继续保持多头思路,等待寻找小周期的低多机会。
The total volatility is low, starting to fall after yesterday’s rebound, which hit 1880, followed by a collection of 1850s, and yesterday’s story of 1850 as a short-term multi-empty storm, with an effective fall of 1850, which would hold back 1760. If supported effectively, 1850 could begin to move forward. Overall, the general direction could continue with a number of ideas, waiting for low opportunities for small cycles.
从日线上看,周四收出小阴线跟周三的小阳线组合成为乌云盖顶形态,说明短线会略偏空,目前受MA10日支撑,K线重回布林带内受布林上轨1900压制。 从4小时图看,以太进入小级别下行趋势中,目前处于三角形收敛口中。整体看短线以太会在1850反复选择方向。日内关注上方压力1920-1930,下方关注支撑1810-1830。周末一般没什么行情操作高抛低吸即可,建议1830-1840区间轻仓多,止损放到1800下方,目标1860-1880。1880-1890区间轻仓空,止损放到1920上方,目标1855-1840。行情变化万千,具体操作以实时策略为主。
On Thursday, the micro-clane and Wednesday's glimmers became a cloud cap form, indicating that the short line would be slightly empty, currently supported by MA10, and that the K-line would return to the boolean belt under 1900. From the 4-hour map, it is now in the triangular middle of the downward trend, in the direction of the sub-level. The overall short line is too likely to be re-selected in 1850. The daytime focus is on the upward pressure of 1920-1930, and the lower side is on the support of 1810-1830.
声明:以上内容均为个人观点,策略仅供参考,不作为投资依据,如有跟进风险自担。返回搜狐,查看更多
Statement: The above is a personal point of view, and the strategy does not serve as a basis for investment, if there is a risk of follow-up. returned to search for more
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