比特币大事记来了！11月的最后一小时，比特币价格突破历史最高值！
11月30日，比特币新闻资讯网Coindesk价格显示，比特币价格突破该网站历史最高价19665美元。截至发稿，Coindesk数据显示，比特币价格约为19766美元，24小时内涨幅达9.17%，24小时内比特币成交额为266.9亿美元，市值为3668亿美元，超过摩根大通市值。
On 30 November, the Bitcoin News and Information Network Coindisk price showed that Bitcoin prices had exceeded the site’s historical maximum price of US$ 19665. As at the time of publication, Coindesk data showed that Bitcoin prices were approximately US$ 19766, with a 9.17 per cent increase in 24 hours, and that Bitcoin was traded at US$ 26,690 million within 24 hours, with a market value of US$ 36,6.8 billion, exceeding the market value of Morgan Chase.
比特币一日价格走势与历史极值 图片来源：coindesk
摩根大通市值 图片来源：wind另据合约帝行情统计报告显示，过去1小时比特币全网总计爆仓9422万美元，24小时比特币全网爆仓1.98亿美元，爆仓人数10975人。
Morgan Chase Market Values: According to a separate report by the Under-Secretary-General, during the past one hour, the entire Bitcoin was in a total of $9.422 million, while Bitcoin was in a total of $198 million and its number was 10975.
对此，多位业内专家此前对澎湃新闻记者表示，这波行情市场主要的驱动因素是机构资金的入场。11月23日外媒CNBC援引投资组合经理兼Quantum Economics创始人Mati Greenspan的话表示：“现在和2017年的反弹不同之处在于，当时市场是由散户投机推动的，现在是由企业和亿万富翁推动的。”
In response, a number of industry experts previously told journalists that the main driver of the market was the entry of institutional funds. On November 23, the foreign media, CNBC, quoted Mati Greenspan, a portfolio manager and founder of Quantum Economics, as saying: “What's different is the rebound from 2017, when the market was driven by speculatory speculation and now by businesses and billionaires.”
区块链行业投资者、Axia8 Ventures 创始人林维浩也认为，这轮的上涨和2017年、2018年是不同的，在几年内行业有快速的迭代，从底层基础设施发展，优质资产和项目的留存，到全球共识的加深和理智化、并不像过往缺乏底层价值的过热。尤其这次的上涨和大量的海外机构入场有关，从较早布局的灰度大量增持各类资产到更多的金融机构申请进行比特币等资产的交易许可已经有一定程度的机构fomo（唯恐错过情绪），因此可以理解为有较多的主力资金已进入，可以合理理解为比特币或者加密资产总市值的绝对低点已经大幅抬高。
The investors in the block chain industry, Axia8 Ventures’ founder, Lin Weiho, also argued that the boom was different from 2017 and 2018, and that there had been rapid shifts in the industry over a number of years, ranging from infrastructure development at the bottom, the retention of quality assets and projects, to the deepening and intellectualization of the global consensus, which was not as hot as the past lack of bottom value. This rise was particularly related to the arrival of a large number of overseas institutions, and that there was already a certain amount of institutional fomo (so afraid to miss the mood) to apply for trading permits for assets such as Bitcoin from the earlier layout, and it was therefore understandable that the absolute low value of Bitcoin or the total market value of encrypted assets, which could reasonably be understood, had risen significantly.
后市怎么看？
What do you think of the city after the strong?
事实上，多位业内人士对澎湃新闻表示回调、震荡会发生，长线则均持看涨态度。
In fact, a number of people in the industry have spoken back about the news, the shock will occur, and the long lines are looking up.
林维浩认为，大级别回调是一定会发生的，但是它的开始有可能在两万之前，也可能在两万之后因此不做过多揣测，比较确信的是长线上看空间还看不到量化的天花板。
According to Lin Wee Ho, large-scale retrenchments are bound to happen, but it may start before 20,000 or after 20,000, so that more speculation is not made, and it is more certain that there is no quantitative ceiling for looking at space on a long line.
Bicc币交所早期投资人王小彬此前表示：“整体来说，今年的价格都是上涨的趋势，价格在不断冲击前高，近期可能会走进震荡区间。今年的价格有机会冲刺2万美金，短期来说会是一个新高，但是对于明年的大牛来说仅仅是个开始。”
Bing, the investor, Wang Xiaobing, the early investor at the Bicc Exchange, said earlier: “In general, this year’s prices are on the rise, they are high before the shock, and they are likely to go into a tremor zone in the near future. This year’s price, with an opportunity to hit $20,000, will be a new high in the short term, but for next year’s bull, they will be just the beginning.”
“长期看是一直往上涨，10年之内。”有投资者认为。他表示，近期想要收益可能会稍微弱化一点，但是拿来作为避险资产的话还是可以的，但中途会有大起大落。
“In the long run, it's going up for 10 years.” Some investors think. He said that the gains might be a little weaker in the near future, but that they could be used as a hedge asset, but there would be a huge drop in the way.
CNBC援引投资公司Galaxy Digital首席执行官Mike Novogratz则给出了具体的判断，认为比特币到今年年底可能达到5.5万至6万美元，不过Novogratz在2018年也曾表示到2018年底比特币可能“轻松”触及4万美元。
CNBC quotes Mike Novogratz, Chief Executive Officer of the investment company Galaxy Digital, who gave a specific judgement that Bitcoin could reach $55,000 to $60,000 by the end of the year, although Novogratz also indicated in 2018 that Bitcoin might have reached $40,000 “lightly” by the end of 2018.
贪婪指数处于高位
Greed Index is high
OKEx Research首席研究员William则指出了当前市场存在的风险。
William, Chief Research Fellow, OKEx Research, pointed out the risks in the current market.
他表示，比特币具有很强的金融属性，可以说投机需求是影响比特币价格的重要因素。比特币作为一种特殊的资产类别，不同于股票或债券，不会产生任何可预期的现金流，投资者获取回报的唯一方式是比特币价格的上涨，并且同所有风险资产一样，其价格受投资人情绪钟摆和风险态度的变化呈现出周期变化的特征。
He said that Bitcoin was a strong financial attribute and that speculative demand could be said to be an important factor affecting the price of bitcoin. Bitcoin, as a special asset class, unlike equities or bonds, would not produce any predictable cash flow, and the only way investors would earn returns was by increasing bitcoin prices and, like all risky assets, its price was characterized by changes in investor sentiment and risk attitudes.
William认为，自10月中旬以来，比特币价格从10000美元左右跃升至19000美元。市场上很多人都对比特币抱有十分乐观的预期，认为比特币在年末可以冲上8万、10万美元；另一方面，在调研市场时，发现有不少投资者开始使用信用卡或者通过贷款投资比特币，这是十分危险的行为。从比特币贪婪指数看，目前已经达到94，市场处于极度贪婪狂热的状态。特别是从历史数据上看，自11月中旬以来，比特币贪婪指数就一直处于90左右的高位，这是一个相当危险的信号。
William argues that since mid-October, the price of Bitcoin has jumped from about $10,000 to $19,000. Many people in the market are very optimistic about Bitcoin, believing that Bitcoin could hit $80,000 or $100,000 at the end of the year; on the other hand, when looking at the market, it has been found that a number of investors have started to use credit cards or invest in bitcoin through loans, which is a very dangerous act. According to the Bitcoin Greed Index, it is now 94, and the market is in a state of extreme greed.
“因此，对于比特币市场的未来走势，建议市场谨慎投资，不要主动加杠杆或者一次性投入过多资金。”他表示。
“Therefore, with regard to future trends in the Bitcoin market, it is recommended that market investments be prudent not to be actively leveraged or invested in excess of money at one time.” He said.
比特币的至暗与高光时刻
bitcoin'stoundertightandhighlighttime
2009年1月3日，化名为中本聪（Satoshi Nakamoto）的比特币创始人建立比特币创世区块，标志着比特币的诞生。按照中本聪的设计，比特币具有2100万枚的总量上限，每四年产出减半，以及去中心化、公开透明、可以溯源、难以篡改等特性。
On January 3, 2009, the founder of Bitcoin, known as Satoshi Nakamoto, established the Bitcoin inventive block, marking the birth of Bitcoin. In its design, Bitcoin has a total ceiling of 21 million pieces, reducing output by half every four years, and decentralized, transparent, traceable, difficult to tamper with.
诞生后，比特币历经了多轮牛熊市。
After its birth, Bitcoin passed through a multi-wheeled cattle bear.
2010年8月，比特币交易所Mt.Gox在日本成立，比特币开始真正有市场报价。且在2012年11月20日，比特币进行了第一次减半。
In August 2010, the Bitcoin Exchange, Mt. Gox, was established in Japan, and Bitcoin began to have real market offers. And on 20 November 2012, Bitcoin halved for the first time.
2013年3月末，塞浦路斯爆发金融危机，塞浦路斯储户选择使用比特币作为避险工具，比特币第一次迎来全世界的关注。10月，美国参议院讨论比特币带来的冲击与机遇。比特币热度再次上涨，出现上涨趋势，一度上涨至1000美元以上。
In late March 2013, as a result of the financial crisis in Cyprus, the depositors of Cyprus chose to use bitcoin as a hedge tool, and Bitcoin came to the attention of the world for the first time. In October, the United States Senate discussed the impact and opportunities of bitcoin.
同年12月，中国五部委联合发布《关于防范比特币风险的通知》，明确了比特币的非货币属性，禁止各金融机构和支付机构开展与比特币相关的业务。比特币开始下跌。并且2014年2月25日，比特币交易所Mt.Gox因比特币被盗宣布破产，比特币价格继续下行。2015年8月跌至200美元。
In December of the same year, five Chinese ministries issued a joint Notice on Protection against Bitcoin Risk, clarifying the non-monetary nature of bitcoin and prohibiting financial institutions and payment agencies from doing business related to bitcoin. Bitcoin began to fall. On 25 February 2014, the Bitcoin Exchange, Mt. Gox, declared bankrupt for the theft of bitcoin, and Bitcoin prices continued to decline.
2016年7月10日，比特币第二次减半。
Bitcoin was halved for the second time on 10 July 2016.
2017年春季，首次代币募集发行（ICO）的模式开始兴起，比特币价格扶摇直上，一度达到19783美元的历史最高位，但在此之前的9月，中国政府紧急叫停ICO。2018年1月末，比特币价格开始崩盘，并在2018年12月降至3500美元。
In the spring of 2017, the model of the first collection and distribution of coins (ICOs) began to rise, and the price of Bitcoins stagnated, reaching a record high of 19783, before September, when the Chinese government urgently shut down the ICO. At the end of January 2018, the price of Bitcoins began to collapse and fell to $3,500 in December 2018.
2019年6月和2020年2月，比特币两度攀升至10000美元以上，但并未维持太久。2020年3月12日，比特币还曾遭遇瀑布式下跌，在一个月不到的时间内遭遇腰斩。
In June 2019 and February 2020, Bitcoin climbed twice to over $10,000, but it did not last much longer. On March 12, 2020, Bitcoin also suffered a fall in the waterfall and a beheading in less than a month.
不过，此后比特币价格逐步上升。2020年5月13日，比特币第三次减半。7月底，比特币价格突破10000美元，在半个月内快速冲破11000美元和12000美元。9月初比特币价格也曾经历骤降，降至10000美元出头，又再度呈现波动上升的趋势。10月下旬，比特币价格一飞冲天，短短一个月时间内从11000美元接连突破数道价格关卡，如今又打破历史记录。
After that, however, Bitcoin prices rose steadily. By 13 May 2020, Bitcoins had been halved for the third time. By the end of July, Bitcoin prices had exceeded $10,000 and quickly broke $11,000 and $12,000 over a half-month period. Bitcoins prices had also fallen sharply to $10,000 in early September, again showing an upward trend in volatility.
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