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BTC快速回血或进一步确认加密寒冬结束,受市场情绪提振,下月加密市场或现“百花齐放”盛况。
The BTC quickly returned blood or further confirmed the end of the encrypted winter, which was boosted by market sentiment, and which is now a “flash of flowers” in the market next month.
5月17日,BTC价格直线跳水,短时暴跌超18%并一度跌破7000美元重大关口。经过上周五的闪崩,过去两天比特币重拾反弹动力,在多次进攻中不断触及8000美元。
On May 17, BTC jumped in a straight line of prices, falling short by over 18%, and once by $7,000. After last Friday’s crash, Bitcoin regained its resilience over the past two days, touching $8,000 in a number of attacks.
暴跌后快速拉升,显露市场积极情绪
Primitive Ventures创始合伙人Dovey Wan等加密货币分析师认为,上周五BTC的一轮急跌或许是受单一投资者操纵所致,且最终BTC价格还是快速回归7000美元上方。 Encrypted currency analysts such as Dovey Wan, a founding partner of Primitive Ventures, argued that the sharp fall of the BTC last Friday might have been manipulated by a single investor, and that the BTC price eventually quickly returned to over $7,000. Dovey Wan发推称,有大庄在Bitstamp上挂了5000枚比特币的卖单,而Bitstamp深度低且比特币期货交易平台BitMEX的价格指数有50%权重来自于Bitstamp,因而导致BitMEX爆单。 Dovey Wan deduced that Big House had 5,000 bits of billed sales on Bitstamp, while Bitstamp had a low depth and had a 50 per cent weight on the BitMex price index from Bitstamp, the BitMex futures trading platform. 此前,加密货币交易员“Satoshi Flipper”也表示,结合近几周BTC的表现,即使币价暂时出现回调,中长期来看BTC仍将继续延续强势上涨动力。 Previously, the crypto-currency dealer Satoshi Flipper had also indicated that, in the light of the performance of BTC in recent weeks, the BTC would continue to maintain a strong upward trend in the medium to long term, even if currency prices were to revert temporarily.“我坚持认为BTC回撤将是良性的,但大幅回调30%至4000美元是不可能的。如果局部顶部筑成,我认为最多也就是回调10%。”
据比特币资产管理公司Bitwise Asset Management推出的“Real 10(10家真实交易量的交易所)”最新交易量数据显示,当前“Real 10”的真实交易量约为10亿美元,而3月份该项数据仅达到2.7亿美元。
According to the latest transaction data of “Real 10 (10 real-trade exchanges)” launched by Bitwise Asset Management, Bitcoin Asset Management, the current real transaction volume of “Real 10 is approximately 10$ billion, while the figure for the month of 3 reached only 2.7$$.
BTC在市值蒸发130亿美元后能快速止血反弹,且近两日带动市场走出放量普涨的行情,或意味着币市回暖后市场情绪得到极大提振。
BTC can quickly stop the bleeding rebound after the market value evaporates by $13 billion, and has driven the market out of the boom in recent days, or has meant that the market mood has been greatly boosted by the warming of the currency.
突破8000 美元后怎么走?
How do we get past $8,000?
市场观点认为,近几周比特币等主流币种的上涨主要由于机构投资者资金流入量增加。
Market views suggest that the rise in mainstream currencies, such as bitcoin, in recent weeks is largely due to increased inflows of capital from institutional investors.
数据显示,近日芝加哥商品交易所(CME)比特币期货市场和Grayscale(灰度投资)比特币投资信托基金的日交易量齐齐飙升。
The data show that in recent days, the currency futures market of the Chicago Commodity Exchange (CME) and the Bitcoin Investment Trust Fund (Graycale) have seen a sharp increase in the volume of transactions on a day-to-day basis.
另外,谷歌趋势(Google Trends)最新数据显示,随着上周末BTC价格强势反弹,关键词“bitcoin(比特币)”的搜索量近日创下自2018年2月以来的14个月新高,表明散户投资者对BTC的兴趣和投资需求都有明显提升。
In addition, the latest Google Trend data show that the search for the key term “bitcoin” has recently reached a 14-month high since February 2018 with a strong rebound in BTC prices over the past weekend, and shows that the interest and investment needs of the diaspora investors in BTC have increased significantly .
如果未来几周散户投资者对比特币的兴趣持续增加,或可为加密市场带来新的增长动力。
If the interest of bulk investors in Bitcoin continues to grow in the coming weeks, it may bring new growth dynamics to the encryption market.
对于BTC快速止跌反弹并收复8000美元重大关口,Fundstrat Global创始人Tom Lee表示,这也意味着进一步确认加密寒冬期已经结束。
Tom Lee, founder of Fundstrat Global, said that this would also mean further confirmation of the end of the encrypted winter period.
此前,该公司共列出BCH算力大战结束、链上交易量激增、BTC价格高于200日均线且出现黄金交叉、比特币痛苦指数突破89等因素在内的13大理由来力证加密寒冬已然结束。
Previously, BCH listed 13 reasons for the end of the BCH war, the surge in transactions on the chain, BTC prices above the 200-day average and the occurrence of gold crosses, and the Bitcoin Pain Index over the 89th step to confirm that the encrypted winter had ended.
加密货币技术分析师Josh Rager表示,如果BTC能牢牢站稳8200美元关口,则近期目标看向9600美元。
The crypto-currency analyst, Josh Rager, said that if (strong> BTC(strong) was able to stand firmly at the 8200 dollar threshold, the immediate target would be 9,600 .
随着2020年5月比特币区块奖励减半事件日益临近,BTC受这一重大利好有望继续走高并进一步提振市场情绪。
With the halving of the Bitcoin block incentive in May 2020 approaching, BTC is expected to continue to rise and further boost market sentiment with this significant benefit.
“老大哥”将带飞山寨币?
年初至今,LTC、BCH、EOS和BNB等多数币种皆亮出140%-400%的可观涨幅,但多数主流币近期表现远远逊色于比特币,币价较其历史巅峰状态仍相差甚远。
From the beginning of the year to the present, most currencies, such as LTC, BCH, EOS and BNB, show a remarkable increase of 140-400 per cent, but most mainstream currencies have recently performed far less well than bitcoins and still far from their historical peaks.
不过,加密货币交易员认为,市场期待已久的山寨币之春或许很快就要降临。
However, in the view of the encrypt currency traders, the long-awaited spring of the market may soon come.
交易员“Satoshi Flipper”称,“当BTC出现回撤,短时会连带山寨币受到轻微打击,但随后当BTC横盘整理时,山寨币将大幅反弹。”
The trader, Satoshi Flipper, stated that “when the BTC retreats, it will be hit with a slight blow, but then when the BTC is rounded up, the mountain coin will rebound substantially”.
对于后半年的行情,其认为,
For the second half of the year, it thought,
“今年后半年BTC将突飞猛进,且伴随良性修正和横向整理,但与此同时,山寨币将争相起飞。”
Satoshi Flipper表示,未来几周当BTC价格稳定后,受市场欢迎的山寨币将率先起飞,属于山寨币的季节将在6月降临,届时所有山寨币将全线反弹。
Satoshi Flipper said that when BTC prices stabilized in the coming weeks, the market-populated bounties would take off first, and the season of
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