比特币本周刚刚站上5万美元，就有人喊出了100万天价目标价。
Bitcoin just stood on $50,000 this week, and someone called out a target price of 1 million days.
摩根克里克数字资产公司(Morgan Creek Digital Assets)联合创始人Anthony Pompliano周三预计，到2030年年底，比特币价格可能会达到50万美元，最终有望达到100万美元，并以远超黄金的市值成为全球储备货币。
Anthony Pomgliano, co-founder of Morgan Creek Digital Assets, projected that by Wednesday, by the end of 2030, Bitcoin prices could reach $500,000 and eventually reach $1 million, and become a global reserve currency with a market value far above gold.
Pompliano认为，比特币的稀缺性（供应上限2100万枚）、及其去中心化性质，是比特币受到欢迎的两个重要因素。所谓去中心化，是指用户无需任何中央管理员来验证交易，就能够几乎瞬间将大量价值转移给其他网络参与者，很少有管理上的麻烦。
Pompoliano argues that the scarcity of Bitcoin (up to 21 million units) and its decentralisation are two important factors that are welcome for Bitcoin. Decentralization means that users can transfer large amounts of value to other network participants almost instantaneously without the need for any central administrator to validate the transaction, with little managerial difficulty.
与此同时，机构和大型公司的参与正进一步助推币价涨势。特斯拉宣布投入15亿美元配置比特币，并计划接受加密货币作为支付方式之后，比特币等加密数字货币资产似乎走上了被机构接受的快车道。
At the same time, the involvement of institutions and large companies is further contributing to the increase in currency prices. Tesla’s announcement of $1.5 billion in the allocation of bitcoins and plans to accept encrypted currency as a mode of payment appears to have moved into the fast track accepted by the institution.
上周四，美国历史最悠久的银行、主要托管提供商纽约梅隆银行（BNY Mellon）宣布，今年晚些时候起，将为机构客户持有、转让和发行比特币及其他加密货币，最终计划是将数字货币与国债和科技股等其他资产同等对待。有分析称，这是首家大型托管银行公布将数字货币视为其他传统资产同等地位的路线图。
Last Thursday, the oldest bank in the United States, the leading hosting provider in New York, BNY Mellon, announced that it would hold, transfer and issue Bitcoin and other encrypted currencies for its clients later this year, with the ultimate plan to treat digital money on an equal footing with other assets, such as national debt and the Science and Technology Unit. According to the analysis, this is the first major hosting bank to publish a road map that treats digital money as an equivalent to other traditional assets.
全球支付巨头万事达卡也在上周三宣布，计划今年晚些时候在其网络上支持某些数字货币。此外，资产管理巨头贝莱德以及支付巨头Square与PayPal最近也开始支持数字货币。
Global payment giants’ cards were also announced last Wednesday, planning to support some digital currencies on their networks later this year. Moreover, asset management giants Belaid and payment giants Square and PayPal have recently begun to support digital currencies.
CNBC援引摩根大通全球市场策略师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou表示，按照这样的势头，比特币正在作为数字黄金的一种形式，与传统黄金相竞争。
CNBC quoted Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, a Morgan Chase global market strategist, who stated that, according to this momentum, Bitcoin was competing with traditional gold as a form of digital gold.
Panigirtzoglou在1月的一份报告中，将比特币的“理论”长期目标价格定为14.6万美元。据其统计，仅出于投资目的，私营部门目前持有黄金价值约为2.7万亿美元，而比特币市值要达到这一水平，对应的币价应为14.6万美元。
In a January report, Panigirtzoglou set the “theory” long-term target price of Bitcoin at $146,000. According to its statistics, the private sector currently holds gold valued at approximately $2.7 trillion for investment purposes alone, while the market value of Bitcoin would reach that level at a corresponding currency value of $146,000.
不过币价暴涨背后，也有机构认为当前比特币涨势不可持续，风险不容忽视。摩根大通最近就基于比特币的高波动性发出警告，该行在周三的报告中表示，比特币三个月的实际价格波动率为87%，而黄金为16%。也就是说，比特币的波动性是黄金的五倍。
But behind the sharp rise in currency prices, there are institutions that consider the current bitcoins to be unsustainable and risky. Morgan Chase recently issued a warning based on the high volatility of bitcoins, which in a Wednesday’s report indicated that bitcoins actually fluctuated at 87% for three months, compared to 16% for gold.
摩根大通认为，比特币当前的涨势仍存在风险，尽管这是由机构投资者推动的，但散户投资者的参与度也很高，且认为目前比特币没有足够的买盘维持高位。Panigirtzoglou称，其中最大的风险是，过去几个月看到的流动冲动从现在开始明显放缓。
According to Morgan Chase, the current surge in Bitcoin is still at risk, and although it is driven by institutional investors, the participation of bulk investors is also high, and it is believed that Bitcoin does not have enough to keep it high. Panigirtzoglou claims that the biggest risk is that the impulses of movement seen in the past few months have slowed significantly from now on.
摩根大通表示，除非比特币价格波动迅速缓解，否则将它的价格推高至创纪录的5万美元以上的涨势动能，料是不可持续的。
According to Morgan Chase, it would not be sustainable to push its prices up to a record $50,000 or more unless the price volatility of the bitcoin was eased rapidly.
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