2017年4月,Bitfinex和Tether将最后一家愿意处理Bitfinex交易的银行告上法庭,指控其中断了电汇服务。此后不久,彭博援引知情人士消息称,Noble Bank接管了Bitfinex的银行业务。
In April 2017, Bitfinex and Tether brought the last bank willing to deal with Bitfinex to court, alleging that it had interrupted wire transfer services. Shortly after that, Bloomberg quoted sources that Noble Bank had taken over Bitfinex’s banking operations.
但Noble Bank或许已难自保。
But Noble Bank may have been unable to protect himself.
9月30日,据Modern Consensus报道,消息人士称,Noble Bank已经接触过至少一个USDT持币大户,以求获得现金流,但是该请求被拒绝。
On 30 September, the source reported that Noble Bank had contacted at least one of the USDT holders to obtain cash flows, but the request was denied.
10月2日,彭博援引知情人士消息称,Noble Bank正在寻找买家,出售资产。同时,Noble Bank已经失去了许多客户,包括Bitfinex和Tether,并且不再盈利。
On 2 October, Bloomberg quoted sources that Noble Bank was looking for a buyer to sell its assets. At the same time, Noble Bank had lost many clients, including Bitfinex and Tether, and was no longer profitable.
10月7日,外媒Proof of Reasearch又发文质疑Bitfinex已丧失偿还能力,并警告用户取回资产。
On 7 October, the foreign media Proof of Reasearch sent another letter challenging Bitfinex's inability to repay and warning users to recover the assets.
一系列事情引发投资者猜测。Bitfinex股东赵东坐不住了。10月8日,赵东发微博称:“经Bitfinex同意发布信息:Bitfinex/Tether的CFO Giancarlo刚刚给我展示了他们在Noble银行的USD余额只有66.78美元。”
A series of events triggered speculation among investors. Bitfinex’s shareholder, Zhao Dong, couldn’t sit down. On October 8, Zhao Dong-feng Weibo called & ldquo; with Bitfinex’s consent, released a message that the CFO Giancarlo of Bitfinex/Tethe had just shown me that their USD balance at Noble Bank was only $66.78.
这个数字让投资者惊掉下巴。当时USDT的市值是27亿美元,倘若只有一家储备银行,这就意味着要么根本没有那么多流通的USDT,要么Bitfinex/Tether已经将钱挪为他用。
This number shocked investors. At the time, USDT had a market value of $2.7 billion, and if there was only one reserve bank, that meant that either there was no more USDT in circulation, or Bitfinex/Tether had already moved the money to another.
当晚,赵东给出了解释:“你们理解错了,Bitfinex的意思是Bitfinex和Tether的资产是安全的,目前并没有资产存在Noble银行。”他想表达的意思是:所有的美元资产目前都已经安全转移至其他银行。
That evening, Zhao Tung gave an explanation: “ you misunderstand that Bitfinex meant that the assets of Bitfinex and Tether were safe and that there were no assets in Noble Bank. ” he wanted to say that all dollar assets were now safely transferred to other banks.
但这样的解释或许已经没有用了。
But such an explanation may no longer be useful.
信任坍塌,崩盘在即?
Trust collapses and collapses?
10月12日,国外推特以及国内微信群频传消息,USDT无法兑换USD,即将暴雷。市场行情差,这或许是引发投资者大量抛售USDT的导火索。USDT不稳定,投资者只能购买BTC和ETH对冲风险。
On October 12, foreign Twitter and domestic micro-message spread reports that the USDT cannot convert USD into a thunderstorm. Poor market conditions may be a trigger for investors to sell USDT in large numbers. The USDT is unstable, and investors can only buy BTC and ETH hedge risks.
在资深玩家王强看来,昨天的行情是一场预谋已久的收割。他在微信群里称:庄家放出消息,引散户拉盘,然后庄家高位出货。后面应该会放出一条消息来解释USDT暴雷是假的,然后低价USDT也赚了,高价货也出了。
According to a senior player, Wang Keung, yesterday’s move was a long-premeditated harvest. He said in the microblogging group: the dealer sent out news, lured out the silos, and then the dealer went up high. A message should come back to explain that the USDT thunderbolt was fake, then the low-priced USDT made money, and the high-priced goods came out.
在投资者张明看来,Bitfinex就是庄家。昨日下午,有媒体称,根据Tokenlnsight统计,近24小时内Bitfinex BTC冷钱包共参与3笔交易,并转出4000枚BTC。“你看,大B出货了吧,我说法没问题。”张明信心满满地说道。
According to the investor, Bitfinex is the dealer. Yesterday afternoon, according to the media, according to Tokenlnsight, the BITC cold wallet of Bitfinex was involved in three transactions in nearly 24 hours and transferred 4,000 BTCs. & ldquao; see, Big B's delivery, I'm fine. ” Zhang is full of confidence.
币信创始人吴钢在朋友圈表示,USDT出问题,只会锁定比特币的流动性,从而让比特币暴涨。2017年经历告诉大家,每次法币入金困难都只会让比特币暴涨。
The founder of the currency letter, Wu Steel, said in his circle of friends that the USDT problem would only lock in Bitcoin’s liquidity, thereby allowing Bitcoin to surge. The experience of 2017 tells you that every time a French currency difficulty can only cause bitcoin to surge.
分析师肖磊表示,目前,稳定币跟法币的兑换并没有建立起来一个顺畅的机制,因此USDT一旦出现信用危机,首先投资者会将其兑换成比特币、以太坊等数字货币,而不是美元,从而导致比特币等价格的大幅上涨。
The analyst Xiao Xiao stated that, at present, there is no smooth mechanism for stable currency exchange with French currency, so that, in the event of a credit crisis, investors would first convert it into bitcoin, a digital currency such as Taiku, instead of the United States dollar, leading to a substantial increase in prices such as bitcoin.
短期内的上涨显然不具备参考价值,一波小小的牛市很快就画上了句号。10月16日上午7点,根据coinmarketcap显示,BTC价格已经回落6500美元附近,ETH价格已回落210美元附近。
The short-term rise is clearly of no reference value, and a small wave of cattle quickly ended. On October 16, at 7 a.m., according to coinmarkcap, BTC prices have fallen near $6,500 and ETH prices around $210.
币圈又恢复了平静,但等待USDT的或许是一场巨震。
The currency circle has regained calm, but it may be a shock waiting for the USDT.
有分析师认为,从泰达公司的商业模式和Bitfinex的经营情况来看,Bitfinex存在较大的财务风险的可能性较低。不过,由于市场交易量萎缩,USDT的需求减小,过剩的USDT会逐渐被赎回,Bitfinex的兑付压力会越来越大。在赎回初期,泰达公司的现金储备完全有能力应付,但由于USDT大概率存在超发,一旦赎回量较大,便容易兑付困难。于是,未来USDT的走势仍存在巨震的可能。
According to analysts, Bitfinex is less likely to have significant financial risks as a result of the company’s business model and Bitfinex’s operations. However, owing to shrinking market transactions and reduced USDT demand, excess USDTs will gradually be redeemed, and the pressure on Bitfinex’s cash balances will increase.
但肖磊认为,USDT背后是有美元资产的,目前我们不能确定的是比例关系,所以完全崩盘的可能性也不大。
However, Shaw argued that USDT had dollar assets behind it and that, at this point, we cannot be sure of the proportionality, so the possibility of a complete collapse is not significant.
过去重重问题尚未解决,眼下诸多玩家正在抢夺数字货币里的美元。据cryptovest9月27日报道,在加密货币生态系统中,正在部署的和已经在交易的稳定币总共有57个,有23个是已完全启动的项目,34个尚处于筹备阶段。
Past problems have not been resolved, and a number of players are currently stealing dollars from digital currencies. According to Cryptovest, on 27 September, a total of 57 stable currencies are being deployed and traded in an encrypted monetary ecosystem, 23 are fully initiated projects and 34 are in the preparatory phase.
因此,BKFUNND&GDF联合创始人黄乔濛直言,随着USDT共识被打破,稳定币2.0时代将要到来。
Thus, the co-founder of the BKFUNND&GDF, Huang Xiao, spoke out, and with the break-up of the USDT consensus, the era of a stable currency of 2.0 was about to come.
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