比特币强势突破6万美元,受益于美国1.9万亿美元强刺激?

资讯 2024-07-01 阅读:29 评论:0
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  时隔近一个月,比特币价格再度飙涨1万美元。

Nearly a month later, the price of bitcoin rose again by $10,000.

  3月13日晚间,比特币价格短线拉升,在突破59000美元大关后迅速站上60000美元,最高价达到60322.6美元。根据比特币新闻资讯网Coindesk,截至 21:00,比特币价格回落至59753美元,24小时上涨5.8%,24小时内成交量为587.3亿美元,市值约为1.11万亿美元。就在2月16日,比特币价格突破50000美元。

On the evening of 13 March, the price of Bitcoin rose short-term, standing fast at $60,000 after crossing the $59,000 threshold, at a maximum price of $60,322. According to the Bitcoin News Information Network Coindisk, the price fell back to $59,753 as at 21:00, rising by 5.8 per cent in 24 hours, and traded at $5,873 billion in 24 hours at a market value of approximately $1.11 trillion. On 16 February, the price of Bitcoin exceeded $50,000.

  比特币一日内价格走势 图片来源:比特币新闻资讯网Coindesk

  另据比特币家园网站数据,截至发稿,比特币在1小时内爆仓5174.62万美元,24小时爆仓5.78亿美元。

Also available on the Bitcoin Home Web site, as of the date of issuance, the Bitcoin had exploded $5.17462 million in less than one hour and $578 million in 24 hours.

比特币三个月价格走势 图片来源:比特币新闻资讯网Coindesk

  从三个月的走势看,比特币总体呈现波动上升的趋势。2020年底至2021年年初,比特币从20000美元以下迅速突破40000美元,此后回调至30000美元,又“疯涨”至58000美元,接着经历了二次回调至45000美元左右,如今再度攀升破60000美元。

By three months, Bitcoins showed an overall upward trend. By the end of 2020 and the beginning of 2021, Bitcoin quickly broke by $40,000 from under US$ 20,000, then went back to US$ 30,000, went back to “crazy” to US$ 58,000, then went back twice to about US$ 45,000, now climbing again to US$ 60,000.

  美国1.9万亿美元“大放水”

US$ 1.9 trillion "breathing water"

  火币研究院高级分析师胥彤表示,此次上涨的原因之一在于,美国通过了1.9万亿美元刺激法案。

One of the reasons for this increase, according to the Senior Analyst of the Currency Institute, was the adoption of the $1.9 trillion stimulus bill in the United States.

  “新的一轮放水开启,投资者对于之前通胀造成的货币环境收紧预期的担忧化解,此前比特币经历大幅回调,即是市场对于通胀持续的不乐观,当前政策落地,此前的过度下跌得以修正。”

“The opening of a new cycle of water release and the resolution of investors' concerns about the tightening of expectations of the monetary environment caused by the previous inflation, followed by a sharp retrenchment of bitcoin, the market's lack of optimism about the persistence of inflation, the current policy setting and the correction of the excessive decline.”

  3月12日,美国总统拜登签署了1.9万亿美元的新冠纾困救助法案——“美国救助计划”(American Rescue Plan),标志着该法案正式生效。且此次计划包括对美国居民的直接救济、延长失业保险,以及对州政府和地方政府的补助等。

On March 12, US President Biden signed a $1.9 trillion new bailout bill – the American Relief Plan – which entered into force, and which includes direct relief to US residents, extension of unemployment insurance, and subsidies to state and local governments.

  经合组织(OECD)3月9日发布的中期经济展望报告大幅提升了美国经济增长预期。报告预计,美国2021年和2022年经济增速将分别为6.5%(去年12月预测值为3.2%)和4.0%(去年12月预测值为3.5%)。

The mid-term economic outlook report issued by the OECD on 9 March significantly raised growth expectations in the United States. The report projected economic growth rates in the United States in 2021 and 2022 to be 6.5 and 4.0 per cent, respectively (3.2 per cent in December last year) (3.5 per cent in December last year).

  资金持续流入比特币市场

funds continue to flow into the Bitcoin market

  “Microstrategy仍在持续购入比特币,对比特币仍然保持看涨的观点,大型上市公司对于比特币的关注度和认可度还在逐渐增加,资金仍在流入比特币市场。”胥彤指出第二点比特币上涨的原因。

“Microstrategy continues to purchase Bitcoin, which continues to be seen as rising, the attention and recognition of Bitcoin by large listed companies is increasing, and the funds continue to flow into the Bitcoin market.” The reasons for the second point of the Bitcoin rise are pointed out.

  3月以来,MicroStrategy先后两次宣布斥资出资1500万美元和1000万美元购买比特币。截至2021年3月1日,该公司共购入约9.09万枚比特币,总购买价为21.86亿美元,平均购买价约为每枚比特币2.41万美元。

Since March, MicroStrategy has twice announced spending $15 million and $10 million to buy bitcoins. As of 1 March 2021, the company had purchased about 90.9 million bitcoins at a total purchase price of $2,186 million, with an average purchase value of approximately $241 million per bitcoin.

  汽车公司特斯拉在2月8日宣布已购买价值15亿美元的比特币,并希望接受比特币作为其产品的付款方式。2月10日,万事达卡(Mastercard)宣布,该公司将在今年开始支持在平台上使用部分加密货币支付。美国历史最悠久的银行纽约梅隆银行也在2月11日宣称,将入局比特币和其他数字货币。

The car company Tesla announced on February 8 that it had purchased $1.5 billion in bitcoins and hoped to accept Bitcoins as a way of paying for its products. On February 10, Mastercard announced that it would start supporting the use of partially encrypted currency payments on the platform this year.

  2月16日,根据CNBC报道,出行平台UberCEO表示,该公司曾讨论过购买比特币的想法,“很快就驳回了”,但正在考虑是否接受加密货币作为支付方式。

On 16 February, according to a CNBC report, UberCEO stated that it had discussed the idea of purchasing Bitcoin and had “promptly rejected it”, but was considering whether to accept encrypted currency as a means of payment.

  而微软创始人比尔·盖茨(Bill Gates)在2月18日接受CNBC采访时提到,他对比特币持“中立态度”,因为他确实认识到比特币在降低资金流动成本的重要作用。

And Bill Gates, the founder of Microsoft, in an interview with CNBC on 18 February, mentioned that he was “neutral” because he did recognize the important role of Bitcoin in reducing the cost of financial flows.

  此外,2月以来的一个多月内,加拿大已批准了三只比特币ETF(交易型开放式指数基金)。其中第一只比特币ETF在上线后短短两天交易额就突破4亿美元。推出比特币ETF,意味着更多的大众投资者将有机会投资比特币。

In addition, in more than a month since February, Canada has approved three Bitcoin ETFs (the Open Trading Index Fund). The first of these, the Bitcoins ETFs, outpaced $400 million in just two days after being online. The introduction of the Bitcoin ETF means that more public investors will have the opportunity to invest in Bitcoins.

  在此推动下,美国有关机构也正向监管部门提出比特币ETF的上市申请。

As a result, the relevant United States agencies are also in the process of submitting a Bitcoin ETF listing application to the regulatory authorities.

  胥彤提到,比特币今年不断创新高,市场中的个体投资者的FOMO(唯恐错过)情绪比较强烈,也纷纷加入了购买比特币的行列,给市场中注入了资金推动比特币的上涨。

It was mentioned that Bitcoin was constantly innovative this year, and that the sentiment of individual investors in the market, FOMOs (in fear of being missed), was stronger and joined in buying bitcoin, injecting money into the market to drive the bitcoin up.

  “对于后市发展,需要参考全球市场基本面的预期是不是发生改变,放水并不是一个可以持续的状态,如果全球经济出现拐点,这轮支撑比特币上涨的主要原因或将消失,请投资者密切关注宏观经济政策的变化。”她说。

“With regard to post-market development, there is a need to look at whether the expectations of global market fundamentals have changed, that water release is not a sustainable state and that, if there is a turning point in the global economy, the main reason behind the Bitcoin rise or will disappear is to ask investors to pay close attention to changes in macroeconomic policies.” She said.

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